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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 31, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Reale Arena
Osauna logo

Real Sociedad
2 - 0
Osasuna

Mendez (22'), Sorloth (64')
Mendez (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garcia (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CD Coria 0-5 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Arnedo 1-3 Osasuna
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Real Sociedad 1-0 Osasuna

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match between two impressive teams. Osasuna are more than good enough to claim a strong result on Saturday, but with Real Sociedad having home advantage, we are just tipping the Basque outfit to shade a close contest at Reale Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawOsasuna
49.8% (-1.828 -1.83) 26.34% (0.48 0.48) 23.86% (1.348 1.35)
Both teams to score 46.83% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-0.598 -0.6)56.7% (0.599 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34% (-0.482 -0.48)77.66% (0.483 0.48)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-1.051 -1.05)22.85% (1.052 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (-1.575 -1.58)56.57% (1.575 1.58)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69% (0.958 0.96)39.3% (-0.959 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99% (0.884 0.88)76.01% (-0.883 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 49.79%
    Osasuna 23.86%
    Draw 26.34%
Real SociedadDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.25% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.356 -0.36)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 49.79%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.204 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.39% (0.402 0.4)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.248 0.25)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.284 0.28)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.86%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Osasuna

Real Sociedad
76.3%
Draw
19.7%
Osasuna
3.9%
76
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 5.30pm
Real Sociedad
1-0
Osasuna
Elustondo (52')

Cruz (8'), Vidal (90+1'), Angel (90+6'), Torres (90+7')
Nov 7, 2021 5.30pm
Osasuna
0-2
Real Sociedad
Merino (72'), Januzaj (82' pen.)
Rico (28'), Zubimendi (90+1')
May 22, 2021 5pm
Jan 3, 2021 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona15111343162734
2Real Madrid14103130111933
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao157532214826
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca157351513224
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Real BetisBetis155551618-220
11Sevilla155461419-519
12Celta Vigo155372327-418
13Rayo Vallecano144461416-216
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229


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