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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 31, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Reale Arena
Osauna logo

Real Sociedad
2 - 0
Osasuna

Mendez (22'), Sorloth (64')
Mendez (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garcia (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CD Coria 0-5 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Arnedo 1-3 Osasuna
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Real Sociedad 1-0 Osasuna

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match between two impressive teams. Osasuna are more than good enough to claim a strong result on Saturday, but with Real Sociedad having home advantage, we are just tipping the Basque outfit to shade a close contest at Reale Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawOsasuna
49.8% (-1.828 -1.83) 26.34% (0.48 0.48) 23.86% (1.348 1.35)
Both teams to score 46.83% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-0.598 -0.6)56.7% (0.599 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34% (-0.482 -0.48)77.66% (0.483 0.48)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-1.051 -1.05)22.85% (1.052 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (-1.575 -1.58)56.57% (1.575 1.58)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69% (0.958 0.96)39.3% (-0.959 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99% (0.884 0.88)76.01% (-0.883 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 49.79%
    Osasuna 23.86%
    Draw 26.34%
Real SociedadDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.25% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.356 -0.36)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 49.79%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.204 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.39% (0.402 0.4)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.248 0.25)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.284 0.28)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.86%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Osasuna

Real Sociedad
76.3%
Draw
19.7%
Osasuna
3.9%
76
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 5.30pm
Real Sociedad
1-0
Osasuna
Elustondo (52')

Cruz (8'), Vidal (90+1'), Angel (90+6'), Torres (90+7')
Nov 7, 2021 5.30pm
Osasuna
0-2
Real Sociedad
Merino (72'), Januzaj (82' pen.)
Rico (28'), Zubimendi (90+1')
May 22, 2021 5pm
Jan 3, 2021 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Real ValladolidValladolid1943121337-2415
20Valencia1927101829-1113


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