Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.