Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
20.34% | 23.98% | 55.68% |
Both teams to score 49.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.72% | 51.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.89% | 73.11% |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.27% | 39.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.6% | 76.4% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% | 18.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.66% | 49.34% |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.7% 2-1 @ 5.26% 2-0 @ 3.09% 3-1 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.34% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 12.34% 0-2 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-3 @ 5.94% 1-3 @ 5.48% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-4 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 2.33% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.28% Total : 55.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |