Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.