Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
41.39% | 26.67% | 31.94% |
Both teams to score 51.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.34% | 53.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.85% | 75.15% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% | 25.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% | 60.44% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.78% | 31.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.44% | 67.56% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.39% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5.03% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |