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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Mestalla
Celta Vigo logo

Valencia
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo

Both sides will be determined to finish their campaign on a positive note, but we are struggling to back either with any real confidence at the moment. Valencia have drawn eight times on home soil this term, and we are predicting another stalemate in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
35.9% (0.071999999999996 0.07) 26.37% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 37.72% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)51.8% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)73.56% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.76% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)63.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)26.7% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)61.96% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 35.9%
    Celta Vigo 37.72%
    Draw 26.37%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 35.9%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 37.72%

How you voted: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

Valencia
45.7%
Draw
39.7%
Celta Vigo
14.7%
116
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vallejo (90+4'), Gameiro (90+8')
Kang-in (56'), Gaya (62')

Nolito (14'), Mina (31'), Tapia (53')
Blanco (64')
Sep 19, 2020 8pm
Celta Vigo
2-1
Valencia
Aspas (13', 57')
Tapia (25'), Yokuslu (90+2'), Villar (90+7')
Gomez (46')
Esquerdo (55')
Feb 1, 2020 8pm
Valencia
1-0
Celta Vigo
Soler (77')
Paulista (20'), Wass (33'), Florenzi (50'), Gomez (80'), Coquelin (90'), Domenech (90')

Vazquez (40'), Rafinha (65'), Sisto (89')
Aug 24, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona15111343162734
2Real Madrid14103130111933
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao157532214826
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca157351513224
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Real BetisBetis155551618-220
11Sevilla155461419-519
12Celta Vigo155372327-418
13Rayo Vallecano144461416-216
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229


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