Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.