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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Sevilla logo

Valencia
0 - 2
Sevilla


Duro (85')
Moriba (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bade (55'), Suso (75')
Ocampos (41'), Jordan (51'), Montiel (81'), Gudelj (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Valencia 1-1 Sevilla

This is destined to be a cagey clash between two high-profile clubs battling for La Liga safety, so we expect Valencia and Sevilla to play out a close-fought draw at the Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawSevilla
46.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.11% (-0.07 -0.07) 27.21% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.37% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (0.313 0.31)53.53% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (0.264 0.26)75.05% (-0.265 -0.27)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.128 0.13)22.91% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.187 0.19)56.67% (-0.187 -0.19)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34% (0.233 0.23)34.66% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.247 0.25)71.38% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 46.68%
    Sevilla 27.21%
    Draw 26.1%
ValenciaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 11.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 27.21%

How you voted: Valencia vs Sevilla

Valencia
Draw
Sevilla
Valencia
29.0%
Draw
33.3%
Sevilla
37.7%
69
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 6pm
Jan 19, 2022 8.30pm
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Guedes (44')
Gaya (45+2'), Lato (86')
Gaya (89')
Diakhaby (7' og.)
Acuna (45+2'), Montiel (45+4'), Torres (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 6.30pm
Sevilla
3-1
Valencia
Papu (3'), Lato (15' og.), Mir (22')
Lamela (17'), Montiel (30'), Mir (35'), Jordan (51'), Gudelj (82')
Duro (31')
Lato (17'), Alderete (17'), Diakhaby (68')
May 12, 2021 6pm
Jan 27, 2021 6pm
Fourth Round
Sevilla
3-0
Valencia
De Jong (20', 33'), Rakitic (38')
Acuna (62'), Vidal (80'), El Haddadi (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona27193575274860
2Real Madrid28186459273260
3Atletico MadridAtletico28168446222456
4Athletic Bilbao281410446242252
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2812883835344
7Mallorca28117102834-640
8Celta Vigo28116114141039
9Rayo Vallecano2891093131037
10Getafe2899102523236
11Sevilla2899103237-536
12Real Sociedad28105132530-535
13GironaGirona2897123641-534
14Osasuna2771283339-633
15Espanyol2777132639-1328
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2869133242-1027
18Leganes2869132643-1727
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2844201863-4516


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