Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
50.62% | 25.09% | 24.29% |
Both teams to score 50.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.37% | 51.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% | 73.41% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.59% | 20.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.16% | 52.83% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.9% | 36.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.12% | 72.88% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |