Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.