League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 14
May 6, 2024 at 1pm UK
United Park (Drogheda)
Drogheda2 - 1Dundalk
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Drogheda United and Dundalk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-0 Drogheda
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Shelbourne
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.
Result | ||
Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
38.39% ( 0.67) | 25.97% ( -0.05) | 35.64% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.91% ( 0.21) | 50.09% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.94% ( 0.18) | 72.06% ( -0.18) |
Drogheda United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% ( 0.47) | 25.54% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.6% ( 0.63) | 60.4% ( -0.63) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( -0.26) | 27.1% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.51% ( -0.34) | 62.48% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Drogheda United 38.39%
Dundalk 35.64%
Draw 25.97%
Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.64% |
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 1pm
Mar 16, 2023 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-11 02:30:41
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shelbourne | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 28 |
2 | Derry CityDerry | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 |
3 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
4 | Waterford UnitedWaterford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
5 | Galway United | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Bohemians | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
7 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
9 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
10 | DundalkDundalk | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
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