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Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18
Jun 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Derry City

Dundalk
2 - 1
Derry

Kelly (36'), Hoban (56' pen.)
Leahy (51'), McEleney (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Toal (60')
Malone (41'), Lafferty (44'), Cole (56'), Thomson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 25.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawDerry City
49.14%25.68%25.17%
Both teams to score 49.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73%53.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.18%74.82%
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15%54.85%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78%36.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99%73.01%
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 49.14%
    Derry City 25.17%
    Draw 25.68%
DundalkDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 9.17%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.17%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Derry

Dundalk
37.5%
Draw
15.0%
Derry City
47.5%
40
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Derry
1-1
Dundalk
McJannett (61')
(2'), Parkhouse (49'), Malone (90+1')
McMillan (53')
Boyle (26'), Cleary (38'), Shields (73')
Oct 19, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 10
Derry
1-2
Dundalk
Cole (18')
Clifford (70'), Toal (88')
Murray (7'), Flores (15')
Shields (86')
Jul 31, 2020 7.45pm
May 29, 2020 7.45pm
Feb 14, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Dundalk
1-0
Derry
Massey (79')
rhs 2.0
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