League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Mar 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Dundalk2 - 1Shelbourne
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Shelbourne.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dundalk 5-0 St Patrick's
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Bohemians
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
59.03% ( 0.67) | 23.55% ( -0.34) | 17.41% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 45.7% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.53% ( 0.78) | 53.46% ( -0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.01% ( 0.66) | 74.99% ( -0.66) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% ( 0.53) | 17.85% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.39% ( 0.92) | 48.6% ( -0.92) |
Shelbourne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.63% ( 0.05) | 44.37% ( -0.05) |