Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.91%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.