League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17
May 23, 2022 at 8pm UK
Finn Park
Finn Harps0 - 1Dundalk
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Finn Harps and Dundalk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Finn Harps
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: Sligo vs. Finn Harps
Saturday, June 18 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Saturday, June 18 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 St Patrick's
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: Dundalk vs. Shamrock
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundalk in this match.
Result | ||
Finn Harps | Draw | Dundalk |
29.22% ( 2.09) | 27.81% ( -0.02) | 42.97% ( -2.07) |
Both teams to score 46.7% ( 1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.15% ( 1) | 58.84% ( -1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.65% ( 0.77) | 79.35% ( -0.77) |
Finn Harps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% ( 2.24) | 35.91% ( -2.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.31% ( 2.23) | 72.69% ( -2.22) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% ( -0.61) | 27.12% ( 0.61) |