Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finn Harps win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finn Harps win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Longford Town win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finn Harps would win this match.