Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Longford Town had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Longford Town win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.