League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 23
Jul 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Tallaght Stadium
We said: Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers are certainly far from their best in the Irish top flight this season, and they meet a rejuvenated Dundalk team moving towards safety, but the Hoops do still boast more quality than their visitors, and we see Bradley's men having enough to come out on top.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 63.23% . A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 15.47% .
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.79%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%) , while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (5.24%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shamrock Rovers.
Result Shamrock Rovers Draw Dundalk 63.23% ( -0.33) 21.3% ( -0.06) 15.47% ( 0.39)
Both teams to score 48.35% ( 1.1)
52.25% ( 0.99) 47.74% ( -0.99)
30.06% ( 0.9) 69.93% ( -0.9)
85.53% ( 0.22) 14.46% ( -0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.57% ( 0.42) 42.43% ( -0.42)
56.53% ( 1.14) 43.47% ( -1.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 20.31% ( 0.93) 79.68% ( -0.93)
Shamrock Rovers 63.22%
Dundalk 15.47%
Draw 21.29%
Shamrock Rovers Draw Dundalk 1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 63.22% 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.29% 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.53% Total : 15.47%
How you voted: Shamrock vs Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Draw
Dundalk
27
rhs 2.0
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