MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:35:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
University College Dublin
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 36
Nov 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
UCD Bowl
Dundalk

UCD
1 - 5
Dundalk

Gallagher (6')
Dempsey (12'), Clancy (45+2'), Brennan (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Doyle (33'), Horgan (64'), Kelly (68'), Hoban (70', 86')
Hoban (13'), Sloggett (75')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 3-2 UCD
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-0 Bohemians
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 78.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 7.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.23%) and 0-1 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
University College DublinDrawDundalk
7.32% (0.012 0.01) 14.14% (0.164 0.16) 78.55% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 44.35% (-0.597 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.37% (-0.79 -0.79)37.63% (0.793 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.13% (-0.854 -0.85)59.87% (0.857 0.86)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.05% (-0.532 -0.53)51.95% (0.535 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.03% (-0.35 -0.35)85.97% (0.355 0.36)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.29% (-0.212 -0.21)7.71% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.53% (-0.551 -0.55)27.47% (0.555 0.56)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 7.32%
    Dundalk 78.54%
    Draw 14.14%
University College DublinDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 2.62% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 2.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 7.32%
1-1 @ 6.72% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 2.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.14%
0-2 @ 13.15% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 11.23% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.274 0.27)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.36% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 7.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.71% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-5 @ 3.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-5 @ 2.42% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-6 @ 1.58% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 78.54%

How you voted: UCD vs Dundalk

University College Dublin
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Dundalk
100%
5
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 19
Dundalk
4-1
UCD
Hoban (23' pen., 53', 69'), Kelly (41')
Leahy (68'), Boyle (80')
Doyle (7')
May 1, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
UCD
0-2
Dundalk
Martin (35'), O'Kane (90+4')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Dundalk
1-1
UCD
Martin (34')
Behan (78')
Sep 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
UCD
3-2
Dundalk
Lonergan (51', 87'), Duffy (79')
Ward (39'), Bradley (57')
Jul 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Dundalk
3-0
UCD
McMillan (51'), Adams (57'), Ward (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne361712740271363
2Shamrock RoversShamrock361710950351561
3St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's361781151371459
4Derry CityDerry361413948311755
5Galway United361313103329452
6Sligo RoversSligo361310134051-1149
7Waterford UnitedWaterford36136174347-445
8Bohemians361012143943-442
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda36713164158-1734
10DundalkDundalk36511202350-2726


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