Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burton Albion in this match.