Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.