Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.