Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.