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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium MK
Crewe Alexandra

MK Dons
2 - 1
Crewe

Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

With more quality in their ranks and momentum on their side, everything points to an MK Dons win on Tuesday. Manning's men have their sights set on the top two, and they should not be derailed at home to the league's basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
69.19%18.6%12.21%
Both teams to score 48.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89%43.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49%65.51%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.66%11.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.98%36.03%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.54%45.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.7%81.3%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 69.18%
    Crewe Alexandra 12.21%
    Draw 18.6%
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 12.21%
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 8.87%
3-1 @ 6.99%
4-0 @ 4.83%
4-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.75%
5-0 @ 2.1%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 69.18%
1-1 @ 8.85%
0-0 @ 5.16%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.06%
1-2 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.21%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crewe

MK Dons
79.5%
Draw
7.7%
Crewe Alexandra
12.8%
39
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Crewe
1-4
MK Dons
Long (52')
Lloyd-Bennett (69')
Eisa (12'), O'Riley (64'), Daniels (82' og.), Watters (90+6')
Twine (58')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
0-2
Crewe
Mandron (15', 20')
Lancashire (77'), Wintle (90+5')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Crewe
2-0
MK Dons
Mandron (13'), Finney (20')
Finney (56')

Gladwin (37'), Houghton (57'), Fraser (65'), Morris (90+4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
MK Dons
0-1
Crewe

Cargill (42'), Agard (45')
Kirk (32')
Jones (43'), Garratt (81')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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