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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
| 40.11% | 26.52% | 33.37% |
| Both teams to score 52.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.25% | 52.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.62% | 74.38% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% | 25.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% | 60.79% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% | 29.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% | 65.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.37% |