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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
44.16% ( -0.12) | 25.07% ( 0.05) | 30.77% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% ( -0.18) | 47.4% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.39% ( -0.16) | 69.61% ( 0.16) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% ( -0.13) | 21.48% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.49% ( -0.2) | 54.51% ( 0.2) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.14% ( -0.04) | 28.86% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.28% ( -0.05) | 64.72% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |