League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe5 - 1Bristol Rovers
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
We said: Morecambe 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Despite their defeat against Ipswich, Morecambe have enjoyed a good run of form that they will have taken confidence from. Bristol Rovers have lost their last two matches 2-0, so we think this will be a closely-fought contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
36.52% ( 0.21) | 26% ( -0.02) | 37.48% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% ( 0.1) | 50.16% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( 0.09) | 72.12% ( -0.09) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( 0.17) | 26.62% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.15% ( 0.22) | 61.85% ( -0.22) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( -0.06) | 26.08% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.87% ( -0.08) | 61.13% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Morecambe 36.52%
Bristol Rovers 37.48%
Draw 25.99%
| Morecambe | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.52% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.48% |
Form Guide
