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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
MK Dons

Forest Green
1 - 2
MK Dons

FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (43', 51')
Johnson (48'), McEachran (55'), Cumming (86'), Grant (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-0 MK Dons

This is destined to be a close-fought battle between two sides struggling at the bottom end of the table, meaning Forest Green and MK Dons are likely to play out a tense, low-scoring encounter. Given that Rovers have won two of their previous four home games in the league, the hosts could sneak another slender victory on Saturday, having produced a spirited performance against Championship opposition last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawMK Dons
40.23% (-0.623 -0.62) 26.97% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 32.81% (0.705 0.7)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (0.47499999999999 0.47)54.64% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (0.394 0.39)75.97% (-0.392 -0.39)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)26.64% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (-0.157 -0.16)61.88% (0.16 0.16)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.723 0.72)31.12% (-0.719 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (0.833 0.83)67.45% (-0.83 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 40.22%
    MK Dons 32.81%
    Draw 26.97%
Forest Green RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.132 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.81%

How you voted: Forest Green vs MK Dons

Forest Green Rovers
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
MK Dons
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Forest Green
Aneke (31')
Cisse (89')
Reid (80' pen.)
Gunning (52')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Forest Green
0-1
MK Dons
Ariyibi (110')
Cisse (28'), Ebanks-Landell (37'), Williams (45'), Downing (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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