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League One
Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
MK Dons

Forest Green
1 - 2
MK Dons

Peart-Harris (29')
Bakayoko (14'), Peart-Harris (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (43', 51')
Johnson (48'), McEachran (55'), Cumming (86'), Grant (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-0 MK Dons

 This is destined to be a close-fought battle between two sides struggling at the bottom end of the table, meaning Forest Green and MK Dons are likely to play out a tense, low-scoring encounter. Given that Rovers have won two of their previous four home games in the league, the hosts could sneak another slender victory on Saturday, having produced a spirited performance against Championship opposition last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawMK Dons
40.23% (-0.623 -0.62) 26.97% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 32.81% (0.705 0.7)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (0.47499999999999 0.47)54.64% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (0.394 0.39)75.97% (-0.392 -0.39)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)26.64% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (-0.157 -0.16)61.88% (0.16 0.16)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.723 0.72)31.12% (-0.719 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (0.833 0.83)67.45% (-0.83 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 40.22%
    MK Dons 32.81%
    Draw 26.97%
Forest Green RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.132 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.81%

How you voted: Forest Green vs MK Dons

Forest Green Rovers
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
MK Dons
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Forest Green
Harvie (58')
O'Hora (19')
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Forest Green
1-2
MK Dons
Williams (63')
Rawson (45')
Agard (38'), Martin (87')
Martin (60'), McGrandles (77')
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Forest Green
Aneke (31')
Cisse (89')
Reid (80' pen.)
Gunning (52')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Forest Green
0-1
MK Dons
Ariyibi (110')
Cisse (28'), Ebanks-Landell (37'), Williams (45'), Downing (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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