Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
53.8% ( -0.02) | 23.92% ( 0) | 22.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.16% ( -0.01) | 48.83% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.07% ( -0.01) | 70.93% ( 0.01) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% ( -0.01) | 18.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.02% ( -0.01) | 48.98% ( 0.01) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.6% ( 0.01) | 36.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.81% ( 0) | 73.18% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.8% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 57 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 55 |
3 | Wrexham | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | Barnsley | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 42 |
7 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Reading | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 40 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 37 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 34 |
15 | Stevenage | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 34 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 32 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 21 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 21 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |