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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Forest Green Rovers

Exeter
1 - 1
Forest Green

Brown (75')
Nombe (51'), White (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garrick (54')
Stevenson (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Exeter
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

Forest Green Rovers are in desperate need of a win after their recent results, but they are coming up against Exeter at completely the wrong time, with the hosts likely to be full of confidence after their recent victories. As such, we expect the Grecians to run out comprehensive 2-0 winners, extending their winning run to three games on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawForest Green Rovers
53.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 23.92% (0.0039999999999978 0) 22.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)48.83% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)70.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)48.98% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (0.004999999999999 0)73.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 53.8%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.28%
    Draw 23.92%
Exeter CityDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.8%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: Exeter vs Forest Green

Exeter City
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Forest Green Rovers
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Forest Green
4-1
Exeter
Matt (12'), Peart-Harris (51' pen.), Billington (54' og.), O'Keeffe (63')
Bunker (7')
Jay (41')
Sep 24, 2022 12.30pm
Forest Green
0-4
Exeter

Stevenson (25')
Nombe (6'), Brown (26' pen., 41', 83')
Jan 4, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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