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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
38.41% ( -0.6) | 27.08% ( -0.05) | 34.51% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 50.53% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.21% ( 0.26) | 54.79% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.9% ( 0.21) | 76.1% ( -0.22) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% ( -0.22) | 27.72% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.71% ( -0.29) | 63.29% ( 0.28) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.91% ( 0.55) | 30.08% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.78% ( 0.65) | 66.22% ( -0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.41% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |