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Nov 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Fleetwood
McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

The outcome of this one highly depends on the number of absentees that Oxford will be suffering from, but considering the possibility that they will remain without a few of their first-team players at least, we are predicting Fleetwood to pick up at least a point here. Oxford would normally be the favourites for a comfortable win against struggling opponents in this one, but their troubling situation presents Fleetwood with the chance to pick up a vital draw or victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 62.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
62.45%21.31%16.24%
Both teams to score 50.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65%46.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36%68.65%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75%14.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.98%42.03%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.39%41.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.91%78.1%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 62.44%
    Fleetwood Town 16.24%
    Draw 21.3%
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 6.41%
4-0 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.81%
5-0 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 62.44%
1-1 @ 10.13%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.3%
0-1 @ 5.2%
1-2 @ 4.44%
0-2 @ 2.28%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 16.24%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Fleetwood

Oxford United
48.0%
Draw
32.0%
Fleetwood Town
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Oxford Utd
Camps (1'), Madden (76')
Duffy (90+4')

Ruffels (53'), Long (87')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Fleetwood
2-1
Oxford Utd
Madden (15'), Clarke (79')
Coutts (89')
Moore (33')
Mackie (40'), Baptiste (49')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Fleetwood
2-2
Oxford Utd
Burns (8'), Madden (25')
Wallace (73')
Henry (52'), Mackie (64')
Hanson (19'), Mackie (78')
Content continues below the video

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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth27177347272058
2Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds26167346182855
3Ipswich TownIpswich26149348262251
4Derby CountyDerby25128536191744
5Bolton WanderersBolton26128633201344
6Barnsley2412483023740
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe26115103327638
8Bristol Rovers27107104245-337
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough24112113931835
10Exeter CityExeter269893937235
11Port Vale2410592732-535
12Charlton AthleticCharlton2681084036434
13Oxford UnitedOxford Utd258893128332
14Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2595112729-232
15Portsmouth2371062930-131
16Lincoln CityLincoln2561272430-630
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood2561182927229
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham2584132130-928
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2467112338-1525
20Morecambe2559112635-924
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge2573152241-1924
22MK Dons2564152336-1322
23Burton Albion2657143254-2222
24Forest Green RoversForest Green2656152250-2821

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