Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.