Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.