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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Sunderland |
34.85% | 26.13% | 39.02% |
Both teams to score 53.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.14% | 50.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.26% | 72.74% |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% | 27.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% | 63.57% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% | 25.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% | 60.41% |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 5.8% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.74% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |