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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Burton Albion

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Saydee (13'), Bowman (66')
Dunkley (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Port Vale
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Burton Albion

The two sides head into Saturday's contest off the back of contrasting results from their last two matches, with Burton seeking to claim a third successive win in all competitions. However, we expect a response from Shrewsbury in front of their own fans and they should do enough to claim at least a draw at New Meadow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBurton Albion
35.9% (0.167 0.17) 26.11% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 37.99% (-0.214 -0.21)
Both teams to score 53.84% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.33% (-0.196 -0.2)50.66% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (-0.172 -0.17)72.57% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.209 -0.21)26.03% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.281 -0.28)61.06% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 35.9%
    Burton Albion 37.99%
    Draw 26.1%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.074 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.9%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.99%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Burton Albion

Shrewsbury Town
83.3%
Draw
5.6%
Burton Albion
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-1
Burton Albion

Leahy (76')
Brayford (31')
David Leak (61'), Powell (87')
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Nov 3, 2020 6pm
Shrewsbury
1-1
Burton Albion
Udoh (90+9')
Udoh (65'), Daniels (76'), Ebanks-Landell (88')
Hemmings (59')
Edwards (24'), O'Hara (86'), Varney (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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