Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
35.9% ( 0.17) | 26.11% ( 0.05) | 37.99% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 53.84% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.33% ( -0.2) | 50.66% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.43% ( -0.17) | 72.57% ( 0.17) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.78% ( 0.01) | 27.22% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% ( 0.01) | 62.64% ( -0.01) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.97% ( -0.21) | 26.03% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.94% ( -0.28) | 61.06% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |