Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 31.63% | 28.05% | 40.31% |
| Both teams to score 46.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.03% | 58.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.56% | 79.45% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% | 34.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% | 70.87% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% | 28.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% | 64.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 7.05% 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.62% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 12.23% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 3.42% 0-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.31% |