Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.