Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.