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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.87%).
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Gillingham |
50.2% ( 0.24) | 25.59% ( 0.05) | 24.21% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 49.28% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.33% ( -0.45) | 53.67% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.84% ( -0.38) | 75.16% ( 0.38) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.59% ( -0.08) | 21.4% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.6% ( -0.12) | 54.4% ( 0.12) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.71% ( -0.52) | 37.29% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.92% ( -0.51) | 74.08% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 50.19% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |