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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.87%).
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Gillingham |
50.2% ( 0.24) | 25.59% ( 0.05) | 24.21% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 49.28% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.33% ( -0.45) | 53.67% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.84% ( -0.38) | 75.16% ( 0.38) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.59% ( -0.08) | 21.4% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.6% ( -0.12) | 54.4% ( 0.12) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.71% ( -0.52) | 37.29% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.92% ( -0.51) | 74.08% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 50.19% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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