Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.