Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.