Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.