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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Harrogate Town

Crawley
1 - 3
Harrogate

Dallison (54')
Nichols (32')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Martin (13'), March (30' pen.), Power (45+3')
McPake (42')
Smith (67')

The Match

Match Report

Former reality TV star Mark Wright made his first start for Crawley but was replaced at half-time of a 3-1 defeat.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawHarrogate Town
41.92%25.82%32.26%
Both teams to score 54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9%50.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93%72.07%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17%57.83%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.78%29.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.83%65.16%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 41.92%
    Harrogate Town 32.26%
    Draw 25.81%
Crawley TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.52%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.26%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Harrogate
1-1
Crawley
Muldoon (85')
Kerry (54')
Watters (27')
Dallison (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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