Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.