Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
