Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.