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Championship header 2

League Two
Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Crewe Alexandra

Forest Green
1 - 4
Crewe

Brown (35')
Deeney (46'), Robson (53'), Bunker (68'), Johnson (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Long (49'), Baker-Richardson (60', 69'), Nevitt (82')
Tabiner (11'), Offord (18'), O'Riordan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, September 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Crewe
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

 Saturday's showdown looks destined to be a closely-fought battle between two evenly-matched teams, so we can see Forest Green and Crewe playing out a low-scoring draw at the New Lawn. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
30.74% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09) 26.08% (-0.058 -0.06) 43.18% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 52.55% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (0.2 0.2)51.7% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52% (0.175 0.18)73.47% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.043000000000006 0.04)31.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)67.37% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (0.15599999999999 0.16)23.78% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06% (0.226 0.23)57.94% (-0.228 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 30.74%
    Crewe Alexandra 43.18%
    Draw 26.07%
Forest Green RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.74%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 10.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.62% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 43.18%

Head to Head
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 40
Crewe
P-P
Forest Green
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Forest Green
0-0
Crewe
Kitching (44'), Rawson (49'), Mills (66')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
4-3
Forest Green
Porter (19'), Mills (63' og.), Kirk (87', 89')
Hunt (81'), Kirk (90')
Brown (36'), Mondal (47'), Doidge (52')
Gunning (52'), Brown (61'), Mills (89'), Reid (95')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Forest Green
1-0
Crewe
Mills (45')
Montgomery (55'), Rawson (87'), Campbell (89')

Jones (90')
Mar 20, 2018 7.45pm
Crewe
3-1
Forest Green
Bowery (44', 61'), Kirk (59')
Pickering (30'), Green (72'), Lowery (78')
Grubb (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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