Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.