We said: Hartlepool United 1-1 Bradford City
Bradford should be on a high following Saturday's win, while Hartlepool have been vastly improved over the course of several months, and we predict a tight affair as a result.
Ultimately, we see a cagey meeting finishing level as the Bantams have enough to avoid a midweek defeat away from home.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.