Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.