Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.